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The sun enters a dormant state, will Earth usher in a new ice age?

By observing variations in the number of sunspots on the Sun’s surface, scientists have identified periodic changes in solar activity.

In the vast expanse of the universe, the Sun has always appeared to be Earth’s most reliable ally. However, recent scientific research has unveiled a peculiar trend, suggesting that the Sun is entering a state of reduced activity, with a significant decrease in its overall output. This startling discovery raises an intriguing question: Could we be on the brink of a new Ice Age?

The Sun’s reduced activity and its impact: Lowering Earth’s temperatures With advancements in science and technology and human exploration of space, our understanding of the Sun has deepened. The Sun serves as the life-giver for all beings on Earth, with its energy regulating our planet’s temperature and climate. Nonetheless, recent research indicates that the Sun may be entering a dormant phase, potentially leading to profound consequences for Earth.



Through the observation of variations in the number of sunspots, scientists have discerned cyclical patterns in solar activity. Each cycle lasts approximately 11 years or longer and is known as the solar cycle. During periods of heightened activity, the Sun exhibits a greater number of sunspots and higher levels of radiation. Conversely, during dormant phases, the number of sunspots decreases, accompanied by a reduction in solar radiation.

As the Sun transitions into a dormant state, the reduced solar radiation will cause Earth’s temperature to decline. Solar radiation plays a crucial role in maintaining the temperature of Earth’s atmosphere and surface. Consequently, the decrease in solar radiation will have irreversible effects on ecosystems, climate, and the melting of polar ice on Earth.

The global climate system is a complex, interconnected network, with solar radiation serving as a pivotal factor. A reduction in solar radiation can alter atmospheric circulation patterns, thereby influencing global climate patterns. For instance, some regions may experience colder winters with increased snowfall, while others may become drier.



Many plant and animal species rely on solar radiation and temperature for growth and reproduction. A decrease in solar radiation can restrict plant growth, disrupt food chain dynamics, and reduce biodiversity. Additionally, the altered solar rhythms can interfere with migration and breeding patterns of certain animal species, negatively impacting their survival and reproduction.

According to research by scientists, the Sun could also enter a prolonged dormant state, which would have a detrimental impact on agriculture and the ecological environment. Image: NPR

The prospect of a dormant Sun could exacerbate global warming issues. While the weakening of solar activity may lead to lower Earth temperatures, it does not imply a reversal of the global warming trend. Human-induced greenhouse gas emissions remain the primary driver, and the Sun’s reduced activity offers only temporary relief from global warming. Nevertheless, the temperature drop following the Sun’s dormancy could exacerbate climate-related issues such as rising sea levels and increased extreme weather events.



Extended periods of cold weather

The concept of the Sun entering a periodic dormant state and the discovery of solar cycles involving changes in sunspot numbers, solar flare activity, and solar irradiance remain subjects of ongoing research. The underlying reasons behind the Sun’s transition into a dormant state remain not fully understood, but accumulating observational data and simulation experiments increasingly support this hypothesis.

After the Sun goes into an inactive state, the reduced intensity of solar radiation will cause Earth’s temperature to drop. Image: Zhihu

Research suggests that when the Sun goes dormant, it emits less energy, leading to a decrease in Earth’s temperature. A reduction in solar irradiance can plunge Earth into a period of colder climate, akin to the Little Ice Age that occurred from the 14th to the 19th century, characterized by relatively low temperatures. This shift could have significant implications for life on Earth and the environment.



Shortened growth cycles for vegetation and reduced vegetation coverage can affect the food supply for herbivorous animals. Colder climates can also alter the migration patterns of animals, potentially threatening certain species with extinction.

Restricted agricultural productivity due to climate changes may lead to food shortages, famine, and societal instability. Colder climatic conditions can also facilitate the spread of infectious diseases as pathogens thrive at lower temperatures. Additionally, human energy demands may increase as people require more energy for heating in colder climates.

Negative impacts on agriculture and ecosystems

The Sun’s transition into dormancy could result in anomalous climate changes. Solar activity is intricately linked to climate variability, with temperature and radiation from the Sun influencing Earth’s climate system.

As the Sun becomes less active, solar irradiance decreases. This will lower Earth’s average temperature and create colder climatic conditions. Colder climates can negatively impact crop growth and reduce crop yields. Furthermore, cold climates can affect the availability and distribution of water resources, further disrupting agricultural production.



Reduced solar radiation can inhibit photosynthesis in plants, a process that synthesizes nutrients by absorbing sunlight and carbon dioxide. Photosynthesis not only provides energy for plants but also generates oxygen. However, if solar radiation diminishes, the photosynthetic process in plants will be suppressed, affecting the balance of ecosystems. Restricted plant growth can disrupt other organisms in the food chain, leading to ecosystem instability and reduced biodiversity.